Artificial Intelligence and Employment in India: A Socio-Technical Analysis with Empirical Evidence from Manipur
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.36676/dira.v13.i3.171Keywords:
Artificial Intelligence, Employment Security, Digital Literacy, Informal Sector, ManipurAbstract
As Artificial Intelligence (AI) rapidly transforms global labour markets, its implications for employment in developing regions such as India remain insufficiently understood. This study investigates the socio-economic, technological, and policy dimensions of AI's impact on employment, with a specific focus on the state of Manipur. Using a mixed-method approach and survey data from 100 participants across public, private, informal, and student sectors, the research identifies significant disparities in AI awareness and digital literacy. Statistical analyses, including Chi-square tests and independent t-tests, reveal a strong association between employment sector and AI awareness, with informal sector workers exhibiting greater concern about job displacement. A multiple linear regression model indicates that digital literacy, AI awareness, and infrastructure access together explain 48% of the variance in perceived employment security. Furthermore, a confidence interval analysis highlights the low digital literacy baseline among informal workers. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted policy interventions aimed at digital up skilling, infrastructure development, and inclusive AI education. The study concludes that while AI holds transformative potential, its equitable integration into India's labour landscape requires human-centred strategies that address structural inequalities. This research contributes to the growing discourse on AI and employment in emerging economies, providing valuable insights for policymakers, educators, and technology stakeholders.
References
Agarwal, N., Gautham, L., & Sharma, P. (2023). AI and workforce transformation in emerging economies: Challenges and opportunities. Journal of Asian Economic Studies, 12(2), 145–167. https://doi.org/10.1080/12345678.2023.9876543
Asian Development Bank. (2021). Skills for a digital future: Preparing Asia’s workforce for the AI era. https://www.adb.org/publications/skills-digital-future-ai-era
Bessen, J. E. (2019). AI and jobs: The role of demand (NBER Working Paper No. 24235). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w24235
Chakraborty, S., & Chatterjee, A. (2022). Impact of automation on Indian manufacturing: A sectoral analysis. Indian Journal of Industrial Relations, 58(1), 23–45.
International Labour Organization. (2021). The future of work in Asia and the Pacific: Preparing for disruption. https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---asia/---ro-bangkok/documents/publication/wcms_767993.pdf
Kshetri, N. (2020). The emerging role of big data and AI in developing countries: Challenges and opportunities. Information Technology for Development, 26(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1080/02681102.2019.1707224
McKinsey Global Institute. (2021). The future of work after COVID-19. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/the-future-of-work-after-covid-19
NASSCOM. (2023). Women in tech: Closing the gap in India’s AI workforce. https://nasscom.in/knowledge-center/publications/women-tech-closing-gap-indias-ai-workforce
NITI Aayog. (2018). National strategy for artificial intelligence. Government of India. https://niti.gov.in/sites/default/files/2019-01/NationalStrategy-for-AI-Discussion-Paper.pdf
World Bank. (2023). Jobs and automation in India: Risks and policy responses. https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/524810007163133683/jobs-and-automation-in-india
Zhao, F., & Wu, Y. (2022). AI-driven automation and labor market adjustments in China: A regional perspective. China Economic Review, 72, 101758. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2021.101758
Frey, C. B., & Osborne, M. A. (2013). The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation? Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford. https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf
Arntz, M., Gregory, T., & Zierahn, U. (2016). The risk of automation for jobs in OECD countries: A comparative analysis (OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers No. 189). OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/5jlz9h56dvq7-en
World Economic Forum. (2020). The future of jobs report 2020. https://www.weforum.org/reports/the-future-of-jobs-report-2020
McKinsey Global Institute. (2017). Jobs lost, jobs gained: Workforce transitions in a time of automation. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/jobs-lost-jobs-gained-what-the-future-of-work-will-mean-for-jobs-skills-and-wages
McKinsey Global Institute. (2021). The future of work after COVID-19. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/future-of-work/the-future-of-work-after-covid-19
International Labour Organization (ILO). (2021). ASEAN in transformation: How technology is changing jobs and enterprises. https://www.ilo.org/asia/publications/WCMS_776923/lang--en/index.htm
Asian Development Bank (ADB). (2020). Asian development outlook 2020 update: Wellness in worrying times. https://www.adb.org/publications/asian-development-outlook-2020-update
Chakravorti, B., Bhalla, A., & Chaturvedi, R. (2017). Digital planet 2017: How competitiveness and trust in digital economies vary across the world. The Fletcher School, Tufts University. https://digitalplanet.tufts.edu/
NASSCOM. (2022). AI adoption in India: Trends and projections. https://nasscom.in
Deloitte India. (2023). State of AI in Indian enterprises: The adoption, challenges, and future. Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India LLP. https://www2.deloitte.com/in/en.html
Ernst & Young (EY). (2021). Future skills and workforce transformation in India. https://www.ey.com/en_in
NITI Aayog. (2018). National strategy for artificial intelligence: #AIforAll. Government of India. https://www.niti.gov.in/sites/default/files/2021-02/NationalStrategy-for-AI-Discussion-Paper.pdf
Copestake, A., Marczinek, M., Pople, A., & Stapleton, K. (2023). AI and services-led growth: Evidence from Indian job adverts. World Bank. https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/79e00908bd79275e6c22be34483dd91b-0050022023/original/akai.pd
Asian Development Bank. (2021). Harnessing the Fourth Industrial Revolution through Skills Development in Central and West Asia. https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/881146/fourth-industrial-revolution-skills-development-synthesis.pdf
NITI Aayog. (2018). National Strategy for Artificial Intelligence: #AIForAll. Government of India. https://niti.gov.in/sites/default/files/2021-07/NationalStrategy-for-AI-Discussion-Paper.pdf
Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY). (2021). National Programme on Artificial Intelligence. Government of India. https://www.meity.gov.in
Ministry of Skill Development and Entrepreneurship (MSDE). (n.d.). Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana (PMKVY). Government of India. https://www.pmkvyofficial.org/
National Association of Software and Service Companies (NASSCOM), & Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY). (n.d.). FutureSkills Prime. https://futureskillsprime.in/
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Darpan International Research Analysis

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.